The reason that’s concerning is that Zverev’s numbers are better across the board. At the Rolex Paris Masters, Zverev’s Shot Quality in his serve is a 9.1, his return is a 7.8, and his forehand and backhand are at an 8.0 and 7.5 respectively. The latter two are interesting because those shots have been much worse than normal this week. Zverev’s 52-week average on his forehand is an 8.2, and his backhand is an 8.1. So, not only is Zverev playing at a significantly higher level than Humbert this week, but there’s also some room for the German to improve. I’m not sure that’s the case for Humbert.
Zverev also happened to edge out Humbert in a tight three-set match in this tournament last year. He won 6-4, 6-7(3), 7-6(5) when they met in the Round of 32, showing that he has the mental fortitude to overcome what will be an electric atmosphere that favors the Frenchman.
Read more: Alexander Zverev ends Holger Rune’s Turin hopes, reaches Paris Masters final
I also wouldn’t be surprised if Humbert is a little nervous. Having the crowd in your corner can give you some much-needed adrenaline when there aren’t a lot of expectations, but it might backfire a bit on a stage this big. If Humbert stumbles at all, he’s going to feel the pressure to perform and give them something to cheer about. And if he starts thinking, this thing will be over in a hurry.
