The Denver Nuggets host the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday evening in a Western Conference matchup. Denver is 29-10 on the season with a 23-25 record against the spread. New Orleans is 12-37 and 20-28 ATS. The Nuggets have won two straight, while New Orleans enters on a five-game losing streak.
Tipoff is 9 p.m. ET in Denver. Denver is an 11.5-point favorites in the latest Nuggets vs. Pelicans odds via SportsLine consensus while the over/under is 241.5, up from opening at 235.5. Before making any Pelicans vs. Nuggets picks, check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 144-102 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Pelicans. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA lines for Pelicans vs. Nuggets:
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans spread: Nuggets -11.5
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans over/under: 241.5 points
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans money line: Nuggets -633, Pelicans +460
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Top Nuggets vs. Pelicans predictions
After 10,000 simulations, SportsLine’s model is backing the Under (241.5). Both teams are dealing with some key injuries that could ultimately impact depth and keep the scoring low. The Nuggets won’t have Russell Westbrook (hamstring), while the Pelicans are missing Brandon Ingram (ankle), Dejounte Murray (Achilles) and Herbert Jones (shoulder).
Denver has seen two of its past three games go Under. While New Orleans has trended to the Over for much of this season, some of its totals have risen recently and the Pelicans have now gone Under in two of their past four.
The model projects just one player — Nikola Jokic — to score more than 23 points in the simulations, helping the Under hit in more than 60% of simulations. See which side of the spread hits here.
How to make Pelicans vs. Nuggets picks
In addition to going Under, the model is also projecting one side of the spread to hit well over 50% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nuggets vs. Pelicans, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $4,000 on its NBA picks dating back to 2023, and find out.
